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Is global warming responsible for a slow tornado season?

Is global warming responsible for fewer tornadoes in 2009?  Stu Ostro of the Weather Channel thinks so.  Image courtesy NSSL.
Is global warming responsible for fewer tornadoes in 2009? Stu Ostro of the Weather Channel thinks so. Image courtesy NSSL.

Stormchasers across Tornado Alley have been frustrated this spring by what seems to be a lack of tornadoes and severe weather.  Indeed, VORTEX2, the largest tornado field study ever, has been running for more than two weeks now and has not seen one twister.  Last week, Weather Channel Senior Meteorologist Stu Ostro speculated that global warming was the cause.

In a segment with on-air meteorologist Stephanie Abrams, Ostro explained that the jet stream lingering over Canada and a continual ridge of high pressure were suppressing severe weather.  Without the collision of low and high pressure (among other factors), tornadoes and supercell thunderstorms have a hard time forming.

Ostro continued his explanation saying that atmospheric pressure in the Northern Hemisphere’s mid-latitudes between 30 and 60 degrees has increased steadily since 1970.  He then overlaid a chart showing this increase with that of a chart that shows global average temperatures having increased over the same period.  As he says in his blog entry, “That parallels remarkably well the trend of globally-averaged temperatures, which has also shown a significant rise since the mid 1970s.”

For the rest of the story story – and a response from Stu Ostro – check out the complete story on the Denver Weather Examiner’s pages. Examiner.com - Get inside Denver weather

A Preview of Thornton’s June Weather – The Severe Weather Month

Denver is historically Thornton's true severe weather month.
Denver is historically Thornton's true severe weather month.

June is historically Denver’s severe weather month and severe thunderstorms, tornadoes and hail are notorious visitors to Denver and across eastern Colorado during the month.  In fact, over 40 percent of the tornadoes that occur in Colorado are observed in June and these are typically the most destructive of the year.  Severe thunderstorms have also caused major property damage across the Front Range during the month.

In just the last 25 years or so, there have been some particularly notable storms in June.  Tornadoes have struck the metro area including one that longtime Thornton residents will recall on June 3, 1981.  53 residents were injured, 25 homes were destroyed and 239 other structures were damaged.  Others tornadoes in the metro area include southeast Denver and Aurora on June 8, 1986 and east Denver on June 13, 1984.  Severe thunderstorms occurring on June 13, 1984 dumped large hail making it one of the worst and the second costliest storm in Denver history.  More recently, on June 20, 2001, a major hail storm moved across Denver International Airport dropping hailstones as big as two inches in diameter. Damage was extensive on and near the airport.

For complete details on what we can expect in June, click here to view our June weather preview.

Monday weather quieter but a funnel cloud is spotted over Thornton

This funnel cloud, one of many across the metro area Sunday, was spotted over Highlands Ranch.  Image courtesy Tracee Hendershott.
This funnel cloud, one of many across the metro area Sunday, was spotted over Highlands Ranch. Image courtesy Tracee Hendershott.

Thus far the weather today has been much quieter than it was yesterday when thunderstorms brought severe weather to most of the metro area.  Southern Thornton has seen a good bit of rain but areas farther north have had very little. 

Earlier today, local law enforcement did report a funnel cloud over 104th and Colorado Blvd from a thunderstorm that was moving through the area.  Reported at 12:47pm, the funnel moved to the east at 15 mph and quickly disappated.  Unlike yesterday when many funnel clouds – and three tornadoes – were reported, this is the only such report thus far today. 

Do you have pictures of this weekend’s severe weather?  Send them to info@thorntonweather.com and we will show them on our site!

Saturday storms bring heavy rain, funnel cloud

This funnel cloud was over north central Aurora Saturday afternoon.  Photo was taken from the Bennett area.
This funnel cloud was over north central Aurora Saturday afternoon. Photo was taken from the Bennett area.

Saturday afternoon’s thunderstorms brought some pretty interesting weather to Denver and the Front Range.  Our wettest and cloudiest month seems to be intent on finishing out right on par with what we would expect this time of year. 

Thunderstorms and showers moved across the metro area in the late afternoon Saturday producing thunder, lightning and rain across much of the area.  Some stations on the Rocky Mountain Weather Network reported quite heavy rain, particularly those on the west side of town.  Some of the rain totals along the Front Range since yesterday:

In yesterday’s forecast we warned of the possibility of landspouts which are small, short-lived tornadoes.  None were observed however a funnel cloud was reported over north central Aurora about three miles south of DIA at 4:50pm.  The funnel lasted about two minutes and never touched down and did not cause any damage.

Windsor marks one year anniversary of EF3 tornado

The town of Windsor, Colorado was forever changed when an EF3 tornado ripped through it one year ago today.
The town of Windsor, Colorado was forever changed when an EF3 tornado ripped through it one year ago today.

May 22, 2008 was like most any spring day along the Colorado Front Range.  The morning started out a bit warmer than usual and it was more humid but there was nothing to indicate the havoc that was soon to be visited upon Windsor, Colorado.

As the morning wore on, high above the plains the jet stream was moving at 120 mph and temperatures were warming quickly.  From Denver looking north huge clouds began to build miles into the sky – an ominous sign of what was to come.  A supercell thunderstorm, one more like what you expect to see in Oklahoma, was forming quickly.

At 11:30am the warnings were going out from the National Weather Service.  This was not your typical thunderstorm.  Soon a Gilcrest police officer radioed, “We have a tornado on the ground!”

Three tornadoes touched down that morning in northern Colorado but one stands out.  The supercell that was near Windsor was growing in size and the twister that developed was massive – ¾ of a mile wide.  Rated by the National Weather Service as an EF3 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale with winds in excess of 136 mph, what was described as a “big, black monster” would tear a path 35 miles long.

For the rest of this story including video and a photo slideshow, please visit Examiner.com.

Rare tornado touches down in Mesa County

A tornado touched down in Mesa County on Tuesday - only the ninth twister since 1950 in the county.  (File photo)
A tornado touched down in Mesa County on Tuesday - only the ninth twister since 1950 in the county. (File photo)

Mesa County, Colorado reported a rare tornado on Tuesday afternoon.  The National Weather Service in Grand Junction reports that the twister touched down in an open area around 3:25pm yesterday near Mount Garfield (map). 

The Associated Press reported that Meteorologist Jeff Colton said a National Weather Service employee was in the area and saw it happen. No damage or injuries were reported.

This was only the ninth tornado recorded in Mesa County since 1950 and the first since August 2, 2005. 

For more information:  Click here to view a history of tornadoes in Mesa County.

Denver officially breaks high temperature record for this date

Denver set a temperature record for today, May 19.
Denver set a temperature record for today, May 19.

It’s official.  At 1:24pm today the temperature at Denver International Airport reached 90 degrees setting a new record high temperature for May 19.  This breaks the previous record high for this date of 89 degrees set in 2006. 

Wtih some cloud cover moving in and a chance for thunderstorms in the forecast, it appears that is as high as the mercury will climb today. 

But is it truly a record?

One does have to wonder though, is it truly fair to call this a record?  When the National Weather Service moved Denver’s official monitoring station from Stapleton to Denver International Airport, some say the city’s climate records were forever altered.  For more information and analysis of the controversy, check out this story:  Do Denver weather and climate records have an asterisk attached?

Mother Nature doesn’t cooperate with VORTEX2 stormchasers

Last Tuesday the VORTEX2 teams chased a system that generated hail, wind and lightning but no tornadoes. Image courtesy VORTEX2 / NSSL.
Last Tuesday the VORTEX2 teams chased a system that generated hail, wind and lightning but no tornadoes. Image courtesy VORTEX2 / NSSL.

The scientists and researchers taking part in VORTEX2, the largest ever tornado field study, have been confounded by Mother Nature in their search for twisters.  The Verification of Origin of Rotation in Tornadoes EXperiment2 (VORTEX2) and its accompanying 80 scientists and 40 vehicles have yet to track a tornado since the project launched just over a week ago.

The team has tracked severe weather systems from northwestern Texas to Oklahoma and while they have seen severe thunderstorms that produced significant rainfall and winds, twisters have eluded them thus far.  While this is undoubtedly frustrating for the team, it has given them time to practice the coordination and deployment of the researchers. 

Last Tuesday the team was on their first chase day in west Texas and was able to deploy their mobile radar units and mobile mesonet vehicles.  That storm yielded little more than wind and hail but it provided a valuable opportunity to view their plan in action and highlight areas where improvement is needed. 

May 17 – May 23 – This week in Denver weather history

May 17 - May 23 - This week in Denver weather history
May 17 - May 23 - This week in Denver weather history

As we move further into the severe weather season, we begin to see that transition in our look back at Denver weather history.  There are many more mentions of lightning, wildfires, tornadoes, hail and other season weather conditions.

14-18

In 1996…a period of unusually warm weather resulted in 4 record maximum temperatures in 5 days.  The record high temperatures were 87 degrees on the 14th…89 degrees on the 15th…and 93 degrees on both the 16th and 18th.  The temperature climbed to only 81 degrees on the 17th which was not a record.

16-17

In 1981…a heavy rain storm dumped 1 to 2 1/2 inches of rain across metro Denver.  Rainfall totaled 1.27 inches at Stapleton International Airport where north winds gusted to 38 mph on 17th.
 
In 1983…a very strong late spring storm dumped heavy snow over the Front Range.  Strong winds with the storm produced blizzard conditions at times.  Sustained winds were 20 to 40 mph with a peak gust to 55 mph at Stapleton International Airport.  The foothills received 1 to 2 feet of snow with 4 to 12 inches along the foothills.  Howling winds whipped the snow into drifts several feet deep…closing schools and highways.  Stapleton International Airport was forced to reduce flight operations…closing 2 of 4 runways and stranding hundreds of travelers.  Most of the damage and inconvenience caused by the storm was in power outages… Which occurred when wind and heavy wet snow caused hundreds of power poles to snap and topple.  About 20 square miles of Denver were blacked out.  Precipitation from the storm totaled 1 to 3 inches.  At Stapleton International Airport… Snowfall totaled 7.1 inches with a maximum snow depth on the ground of only 2 inches due to melting.  The high temperature of 40 degrees on the 17th was a record low maximum for the date.  Due to the heavy moisture content of the storm…widespread street flooding occurred on the 18th when much of the snow melted under the warm May sun and temperatures climbed to a high of 57 degrees.
 
In 1995…significant moisture and upslope flow caused flooding across metro Denver.  Moderate to heavy rains… Which began on the evening of the 16th…developed in the foothills and spread eastward over metro Denver throughout the night.  The heavy rains brought many creeks and small streams to bankfull or slightly over.  Locations along the foothills received between 3 and 4 inches of rainfall from the storm.  Boulder received 3.60 inches of rainfall for the 24-hour period…causing minor street flooding near small streams.  To the northwest of Boulder…a bridge which crossed Fourmile Creek was washed out.  Numerous rock and mudslides occurred in foothills canyons…closing portions of U.S. Highways 6 and 40 and State Highway 119 for a few hours at a time.  Rocks were piled 6 feet deep on a stretch of State Highway 119 along with Boulders as large as cars on U.S. Highway 6.  A parking lot near a creek in Golden caved in leaving a hole the size of an 18-wheeler.  Rushing water washed out a 50-foot stretch of a road in Westminster. Rainfall totaled 1.75 inches at Denver International Airport…but only 1.42 inches at the site of the former Stapleton International Airport.

Continue reading May 17 – May 23 – This week in Denver weather history

Tornadoes wreak havoc, kill three in Missouri

A tornado tears through Adair County Wednesday evening. This photograph was taken by Dr. Curtis Roof from Highway 6, facing west. The tornado traveled on a northeastern path, damaging several homes along the way. (Dr. Curtis Roof/Kirksville Daily Express)
A tornado tears through Adair County Wednesday evening. This photograph was taken by Dr. Curtis Roof from Highway 6, facing west. The tornado traveled on a northeastern path, damaging several homes along the way. (Dr. Curtis Roof/Kirksville Daily Express)

The quiet rural area of Kirksville, Missouri was ripped apart Wednesday evening by four tornadoes that destroyed and damaged homes and claimed the lives of three people.  The first of the series of tornadoes was reported at 5:49pm local time near this town 120 miles northeast of Kansas City.

Adair County bore the brunt of the line of severe storms as they moved northeast across the nation’s midsection.  Two twisters were reported near Novinger, one near Troy Mills and the most damaging one in Kirksville.  The Kirksville tornado destroyed at least one house and damaged 30 – 40 others as well as a car dealership. 

Two victims were killed in Adair County according to the Missouri State Highway Patrol.  No details on the circumstances or their names have been released other than to say they were tornado related.  One woman was killed in neighboring Sullivan County when a tornado struck her mobile home.

Get complete details on the twisters and see some incredible images of the destruction on Examiner.com.