Tag Archives: NCAR

NCAR launches study of Colorado Front Range ozone pollution

The NSF/NCAR C-130 aircraft, one of the aircraft involved in FRAPPÉ, is based at NCAR’s Research Aviation Facility (RAF) at Rocky Mountain Metropolitan Airport in Broomfield, Colorado. RAF develops and operates instrumented research aircraft for the atmospheric science community. (©UCAR, photo by Carlye Calvin, used with permission)
The NSF/NCAR C-130 aircraft, one of the aircraft involved in FRAPPÉ, is based at NCAR’s Research Aviation Facility (RAF) at Rocky Mountain Metropolitan Airport in Broomfield, Colorado. RAF develops and operates instrumented research aircraft for the atmospheric science community. (©UCAR, photo by Carlye Calvin, used with permission)

Over the past week you may have noticed a relatively persistent ‘drone’ of aircraft over the Denver area and seen a relatively large aircraft flying overhead.  The plane is a specially outfitted C-130 taking part in a major field study of the Front Range’s ozone.

Scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) will be using the aircraft, radar, balloons and other sensors and systems in the coming weeks.  The project has many goals including mapping possible sources of ozone pollution and using the data to better interpret satellite data.

From NCAR:

SCIENTISTS LAUNCH FAR-RANGING CAMPAIGN TO DETAIL FRONT RANGE AIR POLLUTION

BOULDER – Scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and partner organizations are launching a major field project across the northern Front Range of Colorado this month to track the origins of summertime ozone, an invisible but harmful pollutant.

The researchers will use specially equipped aircraft, mobile radars, balloon-mounted sensors, and sophisticated computer simulations to measure local and far-flung pollution sources. Results from the month-long study will provide needed information to officials seeking to ensure that air in the region is healthy to breathe.

It marks one of the largest research projects to look at summertime air pollution on the northern Front Range, including Denver, which often exceeds federal standards for safe levels of ground-level ozone pollution despite efforts to reduce emissions. Ozone can lead to increased asthma attacks and other respiratory ailments. It also damages vegetation, including crops.

“Our goal is to produce an accurate and detailed view of all the diverse sources of ozone pollution along the Front Range,” said NCAR scientist Gabriele Pfister, a principal investigator on the project. “We want to fingerprint where the pollution comes from and analyze what happens when it mixes in the atmosphere.”

Known as the Front Range Air Pollution and Photochemistry Experiment (FRAPPÉ), the study will track emissions from both human-related activities and natural sources. It will focus on the urban corridor from south of Denver, north to Fort Collins, as well as the adjacent plains and mountains. Scientists also want to determine how much pollution comes from upwind areas, including other states and countries.

Funded through a federal-state partnership, FRAPPÉ is supported by the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment and by the National Science Foundation, which is NCAR’s sponsor.

TWO MAJOR PROJECTS CONVERGE

To provide additional detail across the region, scientists will closely coordinate FRAPPÉ with a second air quality mission taking place on the Front Range at the same time. DISCOVER-AQ (Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from Column and Vertically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality) is a major study led by NASA that seeks to improve the ability of satellites to usefully assess our air quality.

“What we learn from these flights will help us to better interpret satellite remote sensing of air quality from geostationary orbit in the future,” said NASA scientist Jim Crawford, a principal investigator on DISCOVER-AQ. “It also will help us to define the best combination of instruments on the ground to connect air quality monitoring networks with satellite information.”

The DISCOVER-AQ flights and ground observations will focus on the northern Front Range, while FRAPPÉ will gather measurements from the surrounding region.

In all, approximately 200 scientists, technicians, pilots, and students from around the country will converge on the Front Range for the combined projects.

The researchers will quantify emissions from industrial facilities, power plants, motor vehicles, agricultural operations, oil and gas drilling, fires, and other sources. They also will measure naturally occurring emissions from trees and other plants that then combine with emissions generated by human activity to form ozone and other pollutants.

PROFILING AIR QUALITY IN THREE DIMENSIONS

Colorado, like other states, relies on a limited number of ground-based stations to monitor air quality and help guide statewide policies and permitting. But a full, three-dimensional picture of the processes that affect air quality, including conditions far upwind and high up in the atmosphere, requires a three-pronged approach with measurements from aircraft, satellites, and the ground.

“By bringing together aircraft, satellites, and ground-based instruments, we can analyze the amounts and types of pollutants that are emitted in the Front Range as well as transported from other places, how they evolve, and how air circulation patterns near the mountains move them around,” said NCAR scientist Frank Flocke, a principal investigator on FRAPPÉ.

During the projects, which run from July 16 to mid-August, Front Range residents may notice occasional low-flying research aircraft that are taking measurements of the atmosphere. The aircraft will spiral down at times, taking samples of air as they spiral directly above ground instruments that will be measuring air at the surface and observing the atmosphere above.

Ozone, a principal component of smog, forms from the reaction of hydrocarbons and carbon monoxide in the presence of nitrogen oxides (NOx) and sunlight. It peaks during summer months when sunlight is strongest and air conditions are more likely to be stagnant.

Although the scientists will focus on ozone, they will also measure the size and chemical composition of airborne particles to better quantify particle pollution and track its sources. Microscopic airborne particles can have a major impact on people’s respiratory health.

The data gathered by the projects will go through a quality assurance process and then become publicly available in about six months. Scientists will use the data to begin publishing research results in about a year.

AN ARMADA OF INSTRUMENTS

FRAPPÉ and DISCOVER-AQ will use similar payloads for their aircraft. The teams will conduct wingtip-to-wingtip intercomparison flights several times during the project, sampling air in the same place to make sure the instrument readings are comparable.

A network of instruments on towers, rooftops, and other sites will continuously monitor ozone and the gases that react to form it. Other ground-based activities, such as measurements from tethered balloons and from lidars (laser-based radars), will be closely coordinated with the flights. The researchers will draw on forecasts and nowcasts of both weather and air quality from a large number of computer models to assess daily conditions and make final decisions on when to fly and where to gather atmospheric samples.

“This is a unique opportunity for the state to work with others on a study that combines ground-based measurements with aircraft-borne sensing,” said Will Allison, director of the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment’s Air Pollution Control Division. “It will help us more fully understand complex questions such as the factors contributing to ozone formation in the region. And that will help us continue to implement effective measures to reduce air pollution.”

“FRAPPÉ is a major collaborative study that will produce the most complete picture ever of summertime air pollution on the Front Range,” said Thomas Bogdan, president of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, which manages NCAR. “This effort will dramatically advance our understanding of air quality and its potential impacts. The results have the potential to help not only people living on Colorado’s Front Range, but residents of other metropolitan areas with similar conditions, too.”

In addition to NCAR and the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, the FRAPPÉ team includes scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences; National Park Service; Regional Air Quality Council; Global Ozone Project; Western Regional Air Partnership; Environmental Protection Agency; University of Colorado Boulder; Colorado State University; University of California, Berkeley; University of Wisconsin; University of Cincinnati; Georgia Institute of Technology; University of California, Riverside; Aerodyne Inc.; U.S. Naval Academy; University of Rhode Island; University of California, Irvine; and Princeton University.

Looking for something to do? Head to Super Science Saturday at NCAR

The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder will host Super Science Saturday on October 27th.

Every year the folks up at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder open their doors to the public for a big event dubbed Super Science Saturday.  The event brings together the fun of Halloween with science education and is a great time for kids and adults.

Presentations and static displays with plenty of hands on activities are available.  They will even be launching weather balloons three times during event as well.

  • When: Saturday, October 27, 2012.  10:00am to 4:00pm.
  • Where: NCAR, 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO 80305

From this year’s announcement about the event:

New this year: The debut of the new Weather Gallery Exhibit showcasing all aspects of weather including the basic ingredients of weather, how we observe and forecast weather, and unforgettable wild weather!

Also, throughout the day, NCAR’s “Science Wizards” will explore science with live demonstrations and the Little Shop of Physics crew will present interactive hands-on activities! You can see a science magic show, view storm chaser equipment up close, and explore exciting science from several organizations.

You can learn more about the event here and view a schedule of events here.

Video of some of the activities from year’s past:

NCAR: Arctic ice might shrink due to global warming… Or it might not

Arctic sea ice has long been thought to be a harbinger of climate change. A new study indicates that it is as likely to grow as shrink in the coming years. Credit: UCAR / Carlye Calvin
Arctic sea ice has long been thought to be a harbinger of climate change. A new study indicates that it is as likely to grow as shrink in the coming years. Credit: UCAR / Carlye Calvin

Having seen many of their predictions proven false, climate change alarmists have taken on a new tact in the last couple of years – whether hot or cold, snowy or balmy, manmade climate change is to blame. A new study from NCAR continues that trend saying Arctic ice may shrink or it may grow, take your pick.

A new study by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) shows that Arctic sea ice is “as likely to expand as it is to contract for periods of up to about a decade.”

NCAR scientist Jennifer Kay, the lead author of the study said, “The computer simulations suggest that we could see a 10-year period of stable ice or even a slight increase in the extent of the ice.  Even though the observed ice loss has accelerated over the last decade, the fate of sea ice over the next decade depends not only on human activity but also on climate variability that cannot be predicted.”

Utilizing a single climate model, the study authors speculate that fluctuations in the sea ice will increase due to a warming climate and thinning ice.

Carbon dioxide (CO2) and other gases are not the only reason for the decline of the ice.

Scientists attributed half of the decline to “climate variability.”  This seems at odds with the results from the UN’s IPCC’s AR4 report which dismisses natural climate variability as a reason for increased global temperatures.

The statement from NCAR said that the computer model used by the scientists “has certain biases” however it is unclear how that would have affected the results of the modeling that was performed.  A recent study has demonstrated that computer models are significantly underestimating the Earth’s ability to dissipate heat.

Reliable sea ice measurements have only become a reality since 1979 when satellites started observations.  However, data suggests that as recently as 5,500 years ago during the Holocene Thermal Maximum the Arctic had considerably less ice than what it does today.

This story was originally published on Examiner.com.  Be sure to check out the Climate Change Examiner for the latest global warming and climate change news.

NCAR scientists determine planes can punch holes in clouds

An example of a hole-punch cloud over Alabama. (Alan Sealls, WKRG-TV / NCAR)
An example of a hole-punch cloud over Alabama. (Alan Sealls, WKRG-TV / NCAR)

Mysterious, almost UFO-looking, clouds have fascinated viewers from the ground for decades. Now, scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder have determined that planes can ‘punch holes’ in clouds and perform the equivalent of cloud seeding.

Andrew Heymsfield, a scientist at NCAR, said that given the right conditions, planes climbing or descending can cause the atmospheric phenomena known as hole-punch, or canal clouds. When they do, they create unusual cloud formations and can cause rain and snow to develop.

Scientists have long speculated about the cause of the unusual ‘holes’ in the clouds and had attributed them to various aviation-related causes, none of which were conclusive.

The scientists at NCAR determined that water droplets at 5 degrees Fahrenheit (-15 degrees Celsius) are the key factor. When a plane flies through these droplets, the air behind it is cooled and the droplets freeze and fall toward the Earth.

There's more to this story on Examiner.com!Get the rest of this story including more photos and video explaining the phenomena at the Denver Weather Examiner!

ThorntonWeather.com junior stormchaser chases tornado for 7News

ThorntonWeather.com junior stormchaser Bobby pursued a tornado in Weld County yesterday and provided live reports for 7News.  Watch the video below (you may need to turn up the sound due to a lot of background noise).

[hana-flv-player video=’https://www.thorntonweather.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/7news.flv’ /]

The DOW - Doppler On Wheels - as seen on Storm Chasers.
The DOW - Doppler On Wheels - as seen on Storm Chasers.

🙂  Okay, so maybe not but it still is kind of fun.  This was taken yesterday at NCAR’s Super Science Saturday in Boulder.  Channel 7 was there with their “24 / 7 Weather Experience” which was a lot of fun as it gives folks a small taste of what goes into a weather broadcast.  Unfortunately Mike Nelson, author of our favorite weather book, wasn’t there when we were but this was probably the highlight of the day up at NCAR for the kids.

There was also a bit of a celebrity there too as Justin Walker from Discovery Channel’s Storm Chasers TV show was there with their Doppler On Wheels (DOW) truck – a mobile radar vehicle.  Justin serves as one of the team members from the Center for Severe Weather Research that chases the storms.  He in particular is tasked with placing scientific probes in the path of the tornadoes.  We got to spend a good bit of time chatting with Justin about their chases this past tornado season and in particular the ones in the north central Kansas area where a good bit of my family lives.  He had some fascinating anecdotes to share about the storms, in particular the one that struck near Glen Elder, KS.

Bobby with Justin Walker of Storm Chasers.
Bobby with Justin Walker of Storm Chasers.

For those that didn’t make it up there, you really missed a great opportunity for kids to learn more about not only the weather but also things like energy, the environment and more.

Super Science Saturday at NCAR on October 25th

The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder will host Super Science Saturday on October 25th.
The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder will host Super Science Saturday on October 25th.

I just read about this on channel 7’s website.  Super Science Saturday is an annual event held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder that gives teachers, students and families a chance to get up close and personal with the weather experts.  From the NCAR website:

Every October NCAR hosts Super Science Saturday. This free public event for students, teachers, and families combines science education with Halloween fun from 10:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

This year on October 25, visit Super Science Saturday and see NCAR scientists starring in live demonstrations, participate in hands-on activity tables, and take part in special science workshops.

This is a great opportunity and a lot of fun!  This year the event is on October 25th from 10:00am to 4:00pm at NCAR in Boulder.  More information including photos from previous years’ event can be found here:

NCAR’s Super Science Saturday

Information from Channel 7