{"id":3569,"date":"2011-04-10T04:34:57","date_gmt":"2011-04-10T10:34:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/?p=3569"},"modified":"2011-04-10T09:53:39","modified_gmt":"2011-04-10T15:53:39","slug":"csu-hurricane-forecasters-predict-very-active-atlantic-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/national-weather\/csu-hurricane-forecasters-predict-very-active-atlantic-season\/","title":{"rendered":"CSU hurricane forecasters predict very active Atlantic season"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Forecasters are warning of a very active hurricane season and an increased potential for landfall in the United States. (Natural Disasters Examiner)\" src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/_qM6V6-HRzM0\/TaGF1gRxyBI\/AAAAAAAAEdw\/cL749_1KgsE\/s800\/2011hurricane.jpg\" alt=\"Forecasters are warning of a very active hurricane season and an increased potential for landfall in the United States. (Natural Disasters Examiner)\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Forecasters are warning of a very active hurricane season and an increased potential for landfall in the United States. (Natural Disasters Examiner)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Forecasters at Colorado State University released an updated 2011 Atlantic hurricane forecast that if it holds true, portends a very eventful season. \u00a0The forecast warns of a 175 percent above normal level of activity and most troubling warns that the United States is overdue to get struck by a major hurricane.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/natural-disasters-in-national\/2010-atlantic-hurricane-season-makes-top-five-status-u-s-dodges-the-bullet\">2010 hurricane season was a busy one and saw the third most named storms on record<\/a> but mercifully, none made landfall in the United States.\u00a0 For the 2011 season the CSU team expects things to be slightly calmer but still far above normal.<\/p>\n<p>CSU forecasters are calling for 16 named storms during the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season.\u00a0 Of those they expect nine will become hurricanes and five of those will be major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher).<\/p>\n<p>These estimates far exceed the historical 1950 to 2000 average.\u00a0 During that period the Atlantic averaged 9.6 named storms per year, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 major hurricanes.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em><strong>This story was originally posted on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/natural-disasters-in-national\/tony-hake\">the Natural Disasters Examiner<\/a> &#8211; Visit there for all the latest natural disaster news<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The team warned that whether a hurricane forecast calls for above or below normal activity, residents should always be equally prepared.\u00a0 Dr. Phil Klotzbach said, \u201cIt takes only one landfall event near you to make this an active season.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Breaking down the team\u2019s analysis further, they gave a 72 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall along the U.S. coastline.\u00a0 By comparison, the long-term average probability is 52 percent.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This recent 9 of 11-year period without any major landfall events should not be expected to continue.<br \/>\n~ Dr. William Gray<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>By region CSU forecasters put a 48% chance on the probability that a major hurricane will strike the East Coast.\u00a0 Nearly matching that they said there was a 47% probably a major hurricane would hit on the U.S. Gulf Coast.<\/p>\n<p>Dr. William Gray noted that overall the Atlantic Basin is primed for significant hurricane activity.\u00a0 He said that since 1999, only the 2004 and 2005 seasons saw a major hurricane make landfall in the U.S. and this scenario is not likely to continue.\u00a0 Gray warns, &#8220;This recent 9 of 11-year period without any major landfall events should not be expected to continue.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>More hurricane news from the Natural Disasters Examiner:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/natural-disasters-in-national\/igor-and-tomas-dropped-from-hurricane-name-list-ian-and-tobias-to-replace-them\">Igor and Tomas dropped from hurricane name list; Ian and Tobias to replace them<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/natural-disasters-in-national\/the-united-states-hurricane-history-the-20th-century\">The United States&#8217; hurricane history &#8211; The 20th century<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/natural-disasters-in-national\/the-united-states-hurricane-history-the-21st-century\">The United States&#8217; hurricane history &#8211; The 21st century<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forecasters at Colorado State University released an updated 2011 Atlantic hurricane forecast that if it holds true, portends a very eventful season. \u00a0The forecast warns of a 175 percent above normal level of activity and most troubling warns that the United States is overdue to get struck by a major hurricane. The\u00a02010 hurricane season was &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/national-weather\/csu-hurricane-forecasters-predict-very-active-atlantic-season\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">CSU hurricane forecasters predict very active Atlantic season<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,8],"tags":[252,50,504],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3569"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3569"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3569\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3580,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3569\/revisions\/3580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}