{"id":2149,"date":"2009-12-10T15:50:36","date_gmt":"2009-12-10T22:50:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/?p=2149"},"modified":"2009-12-10T15:50:36","modified_gmt":"2009-12-10T22:50:36","slug":"csu-team-forecasts-above-normal-hurricane-activity-in-2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/natural-disasters\/csu-team-forecasts-above-normal-hurricane-activity-in-2010\/","title":{"rendered":"CSU team forecasts above normal hurricane activity in 2010"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"The early forecast for the 2010 hurricane season in the Atlantic basin calls for above normal levels of activity. (NOAA)\" src=\"http:\/\/image3.examiner.com\/images\/blog\/EXID25803\/images\/2009-12-10_093818.jpg\" alt=\"The early forecast for the 2010 hurricane season in the Atlantic basin calls for above normal levels of activity. (NOAA)\" width=\"300\" height=\"195\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The early forecast for the 2010 hurricane season in the Atlantic basin calls for above normal levels of activity. (NOAA)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The hurricane forecasting team at Colorado State University (CSU) has <a href=\"http:\/\/hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu\/Forecasts\/\" target=\"_blank\">issued its preliminary forecast for the Atlantic hurricane basin<\/a> for next year. Generated by Dr. Phil Klotzbach and Dr. Bill Gray, the forecast calls for above normal levels of tropical cyclone activity.<\/p>\n<p>For the 2010 season, Klotzbach and Gray expect an \u201cabove-average Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season in 2010 and anticipate an above-average probability of U.S. and Caribbean major hurricane landfall.\u201d In terms of numbers, they forecast 11 &#8211; 16 named storms, 6 &#8211; 8 hurricanes, and 3 &#8211; 5 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger).<\/p>\n<p>An average Atlantic hurricane season has 10 &#8211; 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/x-25803-Natural-Disasters-Examiner~y2009m12d1-2009-hurricane-season-ends-as-quiet-as-it-was-all-year\">The 2009 hurricane season wrapped up quite a bit below normal with the fewest storms since 1997<\/a>.\u00a0 Check out our slideshow below for images from the 2009 hurricane season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>For the first time, the CSU team is issuing a range for the number of forecast storms instead of a specific number. This is more in line with the forecasts that the National Hurricane Center issues.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of landfall probability for a major hurricane, the team also expects an increased chance. They peg the chance of a Category 3 or greater storm striking the U.S. coastline at 64% which is well above the average of 52%. The U.S. East Coast has a 40% chance of sustaining a hit (versus a 31% average) and the Gulf Coast has a 40% chance as well (versus a 30% average).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/x-25803-Natural-Disasters-Examiner~y2009m12d10-Forecast-team-issues-2010-hurricane-season-forecast-sees-above-normal-activity\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-1735\" title=\"There's more to this story on the Denver Weather Examiner's site!\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/examiner-more.jpg\" alt=\"There's more to this story on the Denver Weather Examiner's site!\" width=\"250\" height=\"60\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/examiner-more.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/examiner-more-150x36.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/x-25803-Natural-Disasters-Examiner~y2009m12d10-Forecast-team-issues-2010-hurricane-season-forecast-sees-above-normal-activity\">For more details about the hurricane forecast, whether this is a sign of global warming and a slideshow of hurricanes from the 2009 season, please visit the Natural Disasters Examiner.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The hurricane forecasting team at Colorado State University (CSU) has issued its preliminary forecast for the Atlantic hurricane basin for next year. Generated by Dr. Phil Klotzbach and Dr. Bill Gray, the forecast calls for above normal levels of tropical cyclone activity. For the 2010 season, Klotzbach and Gray expect an \u201cabove-average Atlantic basin tropical &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/natural-disasters\/csu-team-forecasts-above-normal-hurricane-activity-in-2010\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">CSU team forecasts above normal hurricane activity in 2010<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[224,303,295],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2149"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2149"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2149\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2150,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2149\/revisions\/2150"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}