{"id":16345,"date":"2016-04-14T13:23:30","date_gmt":"2016-04-14T19:23:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/?p=16345"},"modified":"2016-04-14T13:23:30","modified_gmt":"2016-04-14T19:23:30","slug":"csu-forecasters-predict-near-normal-2016-hurricane-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/natural-disasters\/csu-forecasters-predict-near-normal-2016-hurricane-season\/","title":{"rendered":"CSU forecasters predict near-normal 2016 hurricane season"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure style=\"width: 299px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/-wbSy-wRi_1o\/Vw_tj-KYDZI\/AAAAAAAADj4\/m305vNIWrQAvxrEftxxWjPKwkLuPZk_NACCo\/s640-Ic42\/Hurricane%2BForecast%2B-%2BLarge.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/-wbSy-wRi_1o\/Vw_tj-KYDZI\/AAAAAAAADj4\/m305vNIWrQAvxrEftxxWjPKwkLuPZk_NACCo\/s640-Ic42\/Hurricane%2BForecast%2B-%2BLarge.jpg\" alt=\"Colorado State University 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast. (ThorntonWeather.com)\" width=\"299\" height=\"184\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Colorado State University 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast. Click for larger view. (ThorntonWeather.com)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/tropical.atmos.colostate.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University<\/a> has released its initial forecast for the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season.\u00a0 Forecasters are expecting a relatively typical season in terms of the number of storms and their relative strengths.<\/p>\n<p>Headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach, the team predicts a total of 13 named storms.\u00a0 Of those, six are expected to become hurricanes and 2 of those major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater.<\/p>\n<p>On average, the Atlantic receives 12 named storms, five of which would be hurricanes and two of those major storms.<\/p>\n<p>Of the storms expected to develop in 2016, the forecasters give a 50% chance that at some point the U.S. coastline will be struck by a major hurricane.\u00a0 Average for the past century was 52%.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers released include Hurricane Alex, a short-lived storm in January that reached Category 1.<\/p>\n<p>Uncertainties for the seasonal forecast center around a weakening El Ni\u00f1o and possible development of La Ni\u00f1a conditions.<\/p>\n<p>The report says, \u201cThe big question marks with this season&#8217;s predictions are how quickly the El Ni\u00f1o weakens, as well as what the configuration of SSTs [Sea Surface Temperatures] will look like in the tropical and far North Atlantic Ocean during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>La Ni\u00f1a typically brings less wind shear to the Atlantic allowing storms to form more easily.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/tropical.atmos.colostate.edu\/Forecasts\/2016\/apr2016\/apr2016.pdf\">You can read the complete report here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University has released its initial forecast for the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season.\u00a0 Forecasters are expecting a relatively typical season in terms of the number of storms and their relative strengths. Headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach, the team predicts a total of 13 named storms.\u00a0 Of those, six are &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/natural-disasters\/csu-forecasters-predict-near-normal-2016-hurricane-season\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">CSU forecasters predict near-normal 2016 hurricane season<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[754,183,50],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16345"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16345"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16345\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16346,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16345\/revisions\/16346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorntonweather.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}